The western monsoon is stuck since June 8. Monsoon has taken a long break in June for the third consecutive year. However, 2024 and 2025 recorded above normal rainfall despite early breaks in the monsoon. In 2024, the western branch of the monsoon was slow for 8-9 days in the second week of June. At the same time, in 2025, its progress around the Maharashtra coast was halted for about three weeks. In such a situation, it rains in fewer days and with more intensity. According to the Meteorological Department, conditions may arise for further advance of monsoon in the next 4-5 days. Progress is possible again between June 21 and 23. In such a situation, there may be a break of 13 to 15 days in monsoon. Till June 17, the country has received 46.2 mm rainfall, while the normal rainfall is 74.3 mm. That means 37.8% rainfall deficiency was recorded. On Wednesday, a large part of the country was in ‘no warning’ category in terms of rain. ‘El Nino conditions are also developing’ According to satellite reports of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOA), the pace of monsoon is slow due to the Intertropical Convergence Zone not being active enough. It generally moves northwards and draws moisture into India by mid-June. El Nino conditions are also developing. This could result in long dry spells and uneven rainfall. Satellite data indicates active thunderstorms over eastern India. But the density of clouds is less in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Rajasthan and Western India. See in the map, how far the monsoon has reached. Pre-monsoon rain in 6 states including MP-UP. It is raining under pre-monsoon in MP, UP, Bihar, Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in the country. There was heavy rain in 11 districts of Bihar including Muzaffarpur on Wednesday. Two people died due to lightning during heavy rain in Araria. A tree fell due to strong wind on Wednesday morning in Jaipur, Rajasthan. Due to this, three cars parked below it got crushed and damaged. In Udaipur, due to strong wind, the welcome gate fell on four bikes and one car. Even in the third week of June, monsoon has not been able to cover large parts of the country. There are no monsoon clouds over Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Karnataka in satellite images taken on the morning of June 17. The sky is visible clear in these states. After hitting Kerala on June 4, monsoon has reached 19 states in 14 days. It is stuck in Bhadrachalam, Telangana for the last 7 days. Due to this reason, rain has been delayed in Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh. Pre-monsoon active across the country, 2 pictures of weather… Effect of heat in 8 states, mercury crossed 40°C. In many cities of Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Maharashtra, the mercury remained more than 40°C on Wednesday. The highest mercury in the country was recorded at 45°C in Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh. Whereas it was 42.8°C in Brahmapuri of Maharashtra and Varanasi of UP, 42.7°C in Boudh of Odisha, 42.4°C in Daltonganj of Jharkhand, 42°C in Ramagundam of Telangana and 41.4°C in Khajuraho of MP. Weather condition for the next two days: June 19: June 20: Monsoon will advance if the jet stream weakens. According to the Meteorological Department, the monsoon winds will strengthen if the current pattern of the jet stream weakens. In the next 4-5 days, conditions may arise for the advance of monsoon into Maharashtra, Karnataka, Chhattisgarh and other parts. Jet streams are extremely strong winds flowing in the upper layers of the atmosphere. This is usually a height of about 8 to 15 kilometers from the earth’s surface. These affect monsoon clouds and western disturbances.
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