शेयर बाजार में इस हफ्ते उतार-चढ़ाव का अनुमान: रिटेल महंगाई से लेकर कंपनियों के तिमाही नतीजों तक; यह फैक्टर्स तय करेंगे बाजार की चाल

The stock market may see volatility this week. The market will keep an eye on the first quarter (Q1FY25) results of companies, retail inflation figures, domestic economic data, US inflation, global economic data, FII-DII flow and upcoming IPOs.

Here we are telling you about such factors which will decide the market movement this week…

1. First quarter results of companies
This week, more than 1,900 companies will release their first quarter results. Companies like Hero MotoCorp, Hindalco Industries, Vodafone Idea, National Aluminium, SJVN, Hindustan Copper Limited, Housing and Urban Development Corporation and Indian Railway Finance Corporation will release their first quarter results. The market will keep an eye on the results of all these companies.

2. Domestic economic data
This week, India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) i.e. retail inflation data will be released on August 12. Analysts estimate that the retail inflation figures will be 3.65%, which is lower than the previous 5.08%.

Apart from this, India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) i.e. wholesale inflation data will be released on August 14. According to analysts, the wholesale inflation figure is expected to be 2.39%, which is less than the previous 3.36%.

3. US inflation
Globally, all investors will be looking at the July US inflation data to be released on August 14, which is expected to be similar to the 3% recorded in June. Core inflation may also be similar to June, when it was 3.3%.

Apart from this, the market will also keep an eye on PPI (Producer Price Index) and retail sales data for July. All these data points are important ahead of the US Federal Reserve meeting in September, as most analysts believe that the central bank may announce its first rate cut in this meeting.

4. Global economic data
Apart from this, the market will also keep an eye on the second estimate of Europe’s second quarter (CY24) GDP numbers, preliminary estimates of Japan’s second quarter GDP and China’s retail sales and industrial production numbers.

Investors will also keep an eye on UK preliminary estimates for Q2CY24 GDP, inflation, unemployment and retail sales next week.

5. FII-DII flow
The market will also keep an eye on the activities of Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DII). FII has sold heavily in the cash segment last week.

However, this withdrawal was fully compensated by DII. According to analysts, this indicates that even if the market falls sharply, DII’s strategy of buying on dips may continue.

Last week, FIIs sold shares worth Rs 19,139.76 crore in the cash segment. Whereas, DIIs bought shares worth Rs 20,871.1 crore during the same period.

6. Initial Public Offering (IPO)
This week, in the mainboard segment of the primary market, the IPO of Saraswati Saree Depot will open on August 12 and close on August 14. At the same time, five IPOs will open in the Small Medium Enterprises i.e. SME segment.

The Sensex declined 0.01% last week
In the last trading week, the Sensex fell by 0.01%. Nifty rose by 0.63%. On the last trading day of last week, i.e. 9th August, the stock market saw a decline.

Sensex closed at 79,705 with a gain of 819 points. Nifty also gained 250 points and closed at 24,367. Out of 30 Sensex stocks, 27 rose and 3 fell. Out of 50 Nifty stocks, 45 rose and 4 fell.