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Todays Chanakya exit polls: In West Bengal, the BJP is projected to emerge well ahead with 192 ± 11 seats in the 294-member Assembly.
Today’s Chanakya Exit Polls: In Assam, the BJP-led alliance is projected to secure 102 ± 9 seats in the 126-member Assembly.
Today’s Chanakya Exit Polls: Public opinion firm Today’s Chanakya projected decisive outcomes across key states in its latest round of exit polls, pointing to clear leads in some regions and tightly contested battles in others. From a potential political churn in West Bengal to a dominant showing in Assam and competitive races in Kerala and Tamil Nadu, the projections suggest a varied electoral landscape shaped by both consolidation and fragmentation of votes.
Assam: BJP-Led Alliance Set For Comfortable Majority
In Assam, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance is projected to secure 102 ± 9 seats in the 126-member Assembly, indicating a clear and comfortable majority. The Indian National Congress-led alliance is estimated at 23 ± 9 seats, while others are likely to win just 1 ± 1 seat, pointing to a largely one-sided contest.
Read more: Today’s Chanakya Exit Polls Assam 2026: BJP Set For Landslide With 102+ Seats, Congress Far Behind
On vote share, the BJP-led alliance is forecast at 50% ± 3%, a significant milestone in a multi-cornered contest, while the Congress-led combine is placed at 38% ± 3%. Others are projected to secure 12% ± 3% of the vote.
West Bengal: BJP Surge Signals Possible Political Shift
In West Bengal, the BJP is projected to emerge well ahead with 192 ± 11 seats in the 294-member Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark of 147. The All India Trinamool Congress (TMC), led by Mamata Banerjee, is estimated at around 100 ± 11 seats, while others remain marginal.
Read more: West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 By Today’s Chanakya: BJP Eyes Big Win With 192 Seats, TMC Reduced To 100
If these projections hold, it could mark a major shift in the state’s political landscape, potentially ending the TMC’s long-standing dominance. On vote share, the BJP is forecast at 48% ± 3%, compared to 38% ± 3% for TMC+, with others at 14% ± 3%, indicating a sizeable gap between the two main contenders.
Tamil Nadu: DMK+ Ahead, TVK Emerges As Key Player
In Tamil Nadu, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam-led alliance (DMK+) is projected to secure 125 ± 11 seats in the 234-member Assembly, comfortably above the majority mark of 118 and on track for a second term.
Read more: Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll Tamil Nadu 2026: DMK+ Leads Race, Vijay’s TVK To Make Big Debut
The Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by Vijay, is expected to make a strong debut with 63 ± 11 seats, emerging as a significant third force. The All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK+) is projected at 45 ± 11 seats, while others are likely to get 1 ± 1 seat.
On vote share, DMK+ leads with 39% ± 3%, followed by TVK at 30% ± 3%, and AIADMK+ at 27% ± 3%, with others at 4% ± 3%.
Kerala: Tight Contest Between UDF And LDF
In Kerala, the United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to win 69 ± 9 seats in the 140-member Assembly, just crossing the majority mark. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is close behind with 64 ± 9 seats, indicating a tightly fought contest.
Read more: Today’s Chanakya Exit Polls Kerala 2026: UDF Holds Slim Edge With 69 Seats, LDF In Striking Distance
On vote share, the UDF is estimated at 40% ± 3%, followed closely by the LDF at 38% ± 3%. The BJP-led alliance is projected at 20% ± 3%, while others are expected to secure 2% ± 1%.
As always, exit polls are based on post-voting surveys and may not fully capture the final outcome. The actual results will only be known once votes are counted.
April 30, 2026, 8:39 PM IST
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