Bengal Exit Polls 2026: CM Mamata’s Reign To End? Pollsters Predict Tight Fight Between TMC, BJP

Last Updated:April 29, 2026, 9:17 PM IST

A majority of the pollsters, however, projected the BJP wresting West Bengal from CM Mamata Banerjee with a clear majority as voting wrapped up for the second phase in the state

Exit polls projected that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee may not be able to hold West Bengal for a fourth consecutive term. (Image: PTI/File)

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee may be unable to bag a fourth consecutive term, as pollsters predicted a tight contest between the ruling TMC and the opposition  BJP as voter projections were published on Wednesday.

A majority of the pollsters, however, projected the BJP wresting West Bengal from Mamata Banerjee with a clear majority as voting wrapped up for the second phase in the state.

According to the exit pollsthe BJP will win Bengal and, in many cases, with a clear majority with one to two pollsters predicting either a TMC victory or a close contest. The poll of polls, however, projected an advantage for the saffron party with a knife’s edge difference with the ruling party.

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Here’s what the numbers look like:

• The exit poll by Chanakya Strategies has projected 150 to 160 assembly seats in the BJP’s corner while placing the TMC with 130 to 140 seats of the total 294 seats in the state. Other parties, meanwhile, are projected to win six to 10 seats.
• According to Matrize, the BJP is winning with 146 to 161 seats, while the TMC is projected to win 125 to 140 seats with other parties projected to win six to 10 seats.
• The exit poll by Poll Diary has projected 142 to 171 seats for the BJP, while placing the TMC with 99 to 127 seats while other political parties are projected to win five to nine seats.

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WEST BENGAL EXIT POLL 2026

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These projections come after the final phase of polling for the high-octane Bengal assembly elections concluded at 6 pm, with voter turnout hitting remarkable numbers at 90 percent before the closing hour. Till 5 pm, Purba Bardhaman district continued to maintain the lead with a whopping turnout of 92.46 percent, followed by Hooghly (90.34 percent), Nadia (90.28 percent), and Howrah (89.44 percent). North 24 Paraganas and South 24 Paraganas witnessed a turnout of 89.74 percent and 89.57 percent, respectively. The healthy figures highlight an intense wave of voter participation, setting the stage for counting scheduled on May 4.

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The main contest in Bengal is between the incumbent TMC seeking to defend its throne for a fourth consecutive term and the resurgent BJP, looking for a historic victory in the state. The second phase witnessed various key political figures casting their vote, including Mamata Banerjee, West Bengal Leader of Opposition (LoP) Suvendu Adhikari, TMC general secretary Abhishek Banerjee, BJP candidate and mother of the RG Kar Medical College rape and murder victim, Ratna Debnath, TMC MP Mitali Bag, West Bengal BJP President Samik Bhattacharya, among others.

(With agency inputs)

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