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The results of the presidential election in America have started coming. Republican Party candidate Donald Trump has taken the lead over Kamala Harris in early trends. To become President in America, it is necessary to win 270 seats. To get so many seats, it is necessary to win in swing states.
There are a total of 93 seats in swing states. The results are in from North Carolina, a swing state. Trump has won in this. Trump has a lead over Harris in 5 of the remaining 6 swing states. Kamala Harris is ahead in the remaining 1 state. If Trump wins these states he will win the election.
There are 50 states in America, most of which are divided between the Democratic and Republican parties. States that support the Democratic Party are called Blue states and those that support the Republican Party are called Red states.
At the same time, there are some states which support both the parties. Voters of these states can swing towards any party, that is, they can change. There are a total of 7 swing states in this election. Last time the Democratic Party had won in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona. At the same time, Trump’s Republican Party had won only in North Carolina.
Pennsylvania- Swing State with Most Votes
Pennsylvania has the most number of electoral seats among swing states, with 19. This is the reason why both the parties have campaigned the most in this state. According to BBC, in the last few weeks, advertisements worth Rs 2.4 thousand crores have been shown in this state, which is the highest compared to other states.
In Pennsylvania, the Republican Party has won only once from 1992 to 2020. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 0.7% votes. In the 2020 elections, Biden defeated Trump by a margin of just 1.2%.
North Carolina- Where Kamala’s party could win only one election in 40 years
The Republican Party has dominated in North Carolina. From 1980 to 2020, the Democratic Party has won only once in 2008. Then Barack Obama defeated Republican candidate John McCain by just 14,177 votes (0.32%).
Here in the 2020 elections, Trump defeated Biden by about 74 thousand votes (1.34%). This is the only state out of the current 7 swing states where Trump won in the last election. However, due to low vote margin between the two parties in the last few elections, North Carolina has been placed in the category of swing state this time.
Wisconsin- Trump said- If you win here then consider that everything is won.
Wisconsin has long been a blue state. From 1988 to 2020, the Republican Party was able to win here only once in 2016. Trump was then able to win here by only 22,748 (0.77%) votes. At the same time, in the 2020 elections, the Democratic Party made a comeback here but the victory margin was only 0.63%.
Because of this close contest, Wisconsin has become a battleground state. Here both the parties are trying very hard to win.
The Republican Party’s National Convention was held in Milwaukee in July. It’s in Wisconsin. According to BBC, Trump had stated the importance of this state and said that if he wins Wisconsin, he will win everything.
The Democratic Party also knows the importance of Wisconsin. Just 2 days after Biden left the presidential race, Kamala held her first rally in Wisconsin. Kamala had then said that the route to the White House goes through Wisconsin.
According to the report, the biggest problem for the Democratic Party in Wisconsin is Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Stein is also a contender for the US presidency. Many surveys have claimed that he may get 1% (about 10,000) votes in this election.
This could make a big difference in a state like Wisconsin. This is the reason why the Democratic Party has tried its best to remove Jill. The Democratic Party has complained to the Election Commission that Jill Stein’s candidacy is illegal.
He has not followed the election rules properly. Actually, the ideology of the Green Party is a little close to the ideology of the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party suffers the most due to the presence of the Green Party.
Nevada- swing state with fewest seats
In the last 4 elections, the Democratic Party has won from Nevada. However, in the last two elections the vote margin here has been low. In the last election, Biden defeated Trump by about 2.5% of the votes. At the same time, in the 2016 elections, Hillary defeated Trump by 3.4% votes.
Due to low margins in the last two elections, Nevada has been kept in the swing state category this time. Even though this swing state has the least number of 6 electoral votes. Despite this, since 2004, the same party which won this desert state has won the presidential elections.
According to The Guardian, Nevada has the highest unemployment rate of any US state. Donald Trump has been raising the issue of economy for some time. At the same time, the Democratic Party is taking credit for rescuing the country from Corona.
Arizona – Republican Party’s stronghold turned upside down in 2020
Arizona has been a stronghold of the Republican Party. From 1952 to 2020, the Democratic Party has won only twice. For the first time in 1996, Clinton won from here and in the last election, Biden won from here. However, he won by just 10,457 votes (0.3%).
Actually, Arizona is a state adjacent to Mexico. In the last few decades, people coming from other countries via Mexico have settled in Arizona.
According to the US Census Bureau, in 1996, White Americans in Arizona were 67.6%. This will come down to 52.9% in 2024. At the same time, the Hispanic (Spanish-speaking South American) population, which was 22.4% in 1996, now increased to 32.9%. The policy of the Democratic Party is pro-immigrant. In such a situation, it has benefited from this change in demography.
This time Trump has made the migrant problem the biggest issue. He had also raised this issue in the last two debates. Apart from this he is raising this issue in almost every speech.
Georgia- Where Biden prevented the Republican Party from winning for the seventh time
Georgia used to be a stronghold of the Democratic Party. From 1868 to 1956, the Democratic Party won elections here 27 consecutive times. Then in the nineties the Republic Party established its dominance here.
In the 2020 elections, the Republican Party had set out to win Georgia for the seventh consecutive time, but could not do so. Biden defeated Trump by 11,779 (0.23%) votes. This is the reason why Georgia, which was a red state, became a swing state in the last election.
Last year Trump was arrested in Georgia only. He had to go to jail for 20 minutes. In fact, Trump was accused of trying to overturn the results of the 2020 election.
Michigan- Muslim voters angry with Democratic Party, will support black voters
In Michigan, from 1992 to 2020, the Republican Party won only once (2016). In the 2016 election, Trump won here by only 10,704 votes (0.23%). In the 2020 elections, Trump lost here by about 1.5 lakh votes.
There are about 1 lakh Arab-American Muslims in Wayne, Michigan. They are unhappy with the conflict taking place in Gaza. In the primary contest of the Democratic Party, more than 1 lakh voters had chosen the ‘none’ option. Actually, these voters were angry over giving American weapons to Israel and not being able to stop the war in Gaza.
Trump also has his eye on Michigan. According to BBC, Trump has criticized the Democratic government several times regarding the war in Gaza. Trump said that if he becomes president, he will stop the war in Gaza.
Kamala Harris visited Michigan in early August. He faced a lot of opposition here. Expressing her displeasure on this, Kamala had said that if you want Trump to win the elections then oppose me.
Michigan is 74% White Americans. There are about 14% black voters. Last time Biden got the support of black voters. With Kamala Harris being a contender, black voters can once again express confidence in the Democratic Party.
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Also read this news related to US election results…
Results came from 28 out of 50 states in the US elections: Trump won in 19, Kamala won in 9; Now 7 states will decide who will become President
As voting is coming to an end in the US presidential election, the results are also coming in. So far results of 28 states have come. Of these, Donald Trump of the Republican Party has won in 19 and Kamala Harris of the Democratic Party has won in 9. Read the full news here…
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