Before the results of Nepal elections, everyone’s heartbeat is fast. It is clear from the ongoing vote counting that a major upheaval in politics is on the threshold. In the elections held on March 5, Rashtriya Swatantra Party (RSP) of former Kathmandu Mayor Balendra (Balen) Shah is leading with a huge lead. At the same time, traditional parties are facing a crushing defeat.
According to the latest trends, till late Friday night, out of 165 direct elections for the 275-member Parliament, RSP is leading on 115 seats. With this, it is almost certain that Balen Shah will become the Prime Minister. While the RSP is moving towards a thumping majority, Nepal Traditional parties like Nepali Congress and CPN-UML have been completely marginalized by the public.
RSP is ahead on 115 seats, Nepali Congress is at second place on only 14 seats and UML led by KP Oli is struggling to win on only 13 seats. At the same time, the condition of the party led by Pushpa Kamal Dahal Prachanda is even worse.
However, among the big leaders, only Prachanda was able to save his seat but his party has not even been able to cross the double digit mark.
Balen Shah Gen-Z’s support, Oli is losing badly
Analysts say that the huge support of youth and “Gen-Z” voters has become the biggest reason for Balen Shah’s victory, which has weakened the hold of traditional parties that have been in power for decades.
Former Prime Minister KP Oli has lagged badly in his constituency. Today Balen Shah is going to defeat him from the same parliamentary constituency of Jhapa district from which he had won elections seven times in a row except once.
In the counting of votes which was going on till late night, while Balen had got around 17 thousand votes, Oli could get only 4 thousand votes. That means Oli is currently trailing Balen by 13 thousand votes.
Not only Oli, not a single official of his party or even a single minister of his government is ahead in the vote counting. All the stalwarts of the party are on the verge of defeat in the elections.
On the other hand, the situation of Nepali Congress is also similar. The president of this party, Gagan Thapa, is also lagging behind his nearest rival while many stalwarts of the party have lost the elections.
Three big reasons for the reversal
– Public dissatisfaction with corruption and political instability
– Young voters hate old leaders including Oli
Balen Shah’s promise of new politics
There are total 1 crore 89 lakh voters in Nepal. Voting took place for a total of 275 seats. RSP seems to be getting a majority of two-thirds in only 165 seats of First Past The Post (FPTP) or direct voting.
At the same time, counting is going on for 110 seats of Proportional Representation (PR) or proportional system, the result of which will be told finally. Seeing the apparent tsunami in favor of RSP, this party is expected to get more than 50 seats in proportion also.
This means that after 36 years in the history of Nepal, any one party will get not only an absolute majority but a huge majority. People expect political stability and have a lot of expectations from this government.
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