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There is a crisis looming over the presidency of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel. Out of the 4 major surveys conducted before the elections to be held on October 27, the opposition camp is ahead in 2, while in one both the camps are tied and in one, Netanyahu’s camp is ahead.
In any survey, not a single camp seems to be getting the required number of seats to form the government. In such a situation, after the elections the key to power may go into the hands of small parties.
There are a total of 120 seats in the Israeli Parliament. To form the government, any camp needs the support of at least 61 seats. In the four major surveys conducted before the elections, no camp seems to be getting this figure.
People’s opinion divided before elections in Israel
Abraham Levi, a 76-year-old fruit seller standing amid election posters in Jerusalem’s Mahane Yehuda market, is confident that Netanyahu will form the government again. He says, ‘Netanyahu has to complete his work.’
But Ilda, a shopkeeper on Jaffa Street in the same city, has a different opinion. He says that Netanyahu should take responsibility for the Hamas attack. Turgeman, who lives in the Jaffa area of Tel Aviv, also wants change. They say they will support Gadi Aizencott.
These different opinions of the people reflect the electoral environment of Israel. Here some people want to give another chance to Netanyahu, while some are demanding accountability of the government after the Hamas attack.
About 1,200 people were killed in a Hamas attack in Israel on October 7, 2023. After this, more than 74 thousand Palestinians have died in Israeli military action in Gaza. Security, responsibility for Hamas attacks and Netanyahu’s leadership are big issues in this election, which is being held after almost three years.
Families who lost their loved ones in Hamas attack also divided
Many families lost their loved ones in the Hamas attack on 7 October 2023. Now in the elections, different opinions are emerging about Netanyahu even among such families.
Merav of Kibbutz Berry’s parents were killed in the attack. He believes that the government during whose tenure such a major attack took place should not come to power again.
At the same time, Talik, the candidate of Netanyahu’s Likud party, wants strong leadership in the country. It is clear that even the families of the victims of the attack are not unanimous on the question of whose government should be next.
Palestinians celebrate near a destroyed tank near Khan Younis in Gaza, on the border with Israel. The picture is of 7 October 2023. On this day, Hamas attacked Israel through land, air and sea.
The issue of making Palestine a separate country is away from the election debate.
In this election, the issue of making Palestine a separate country is not finding much space in the debate of major Jewish parties. Netanyahu is in favor of maintaining Israel’s security control over Palestinian areas. Opposition parties also take a strict stance on security matters.
This means that all the parties opposing Netanyahu do not have a different opinion from him on the issue of Palestine. Despite calls for government change, differences of opinion among the major parties over security and Palestine’s future appear limited.
According to the survey, 36% of opposition voters and 57% of Arab citizens support the two-state solution. Under this system, Israel and Palestine will be two separate countries.
Arab parties and small parties play important role in forming government
In case no camp gets majority in Israel, smaller parties can change the equation of forming the government. After the elections, both Netanyahu and the opposition may need the support of other parties to form a government.
According to the given estimates, some small parties are likely to get 12 to 15 seats. Of these, Ram Party is expected to get 5 seats, United Arab List 7 to 9, Ofer Winter’s party 5 and Hendel-Jelkha is expected to get 4 seats.
Who gets the support of these parties can be important in the talks to form the government after the elections. However, it is necessary to confirm which survey these estimates of seats are related to and whether all the figures are from the same survey.
Netanyahu reached court 16 days before elections in 7 year old corruption case
Before the elections, Netanyahu is also facing court in a corruption case. On Sunday, October 11, he appeared in court for a hearing on the matter. Israel’s former Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit testified during the hearing.
It was Mandelblit who decided to prosecute Netanyahu in 2019. He told the court that the phone of Netanyahu’s then chief of staff had been tapped without his approval. He also said that at one time he felt that the police was working at the behest of someone else.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu casts his vote in Likud Party’s internal elections in Jerusalem. General elections are to be held in Israel in October. The picture is of 17 August 2026.
What is the corruption case against Netanyahu?
Netanyahu is accused of taking expensive gifts from businessmen and getting news published in his favor in exchange for favoring media organizations. In 2019, a trial began against him on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.
Netanyahu has been denying these allegations. The hearing of the case continues in the court.
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